Monday, March 30, 2020

The President's Coronavirus Guidelines for America

President Trump has announced that social distancing guidelines have been extended to April 30. Here's what that means:

Click for Larger Image, or to Download.

The President's Coronavirus Guidelines for America
  • Do work and school from home
  • If you work in a critical infrastructure industry, keep your normal work schedule and follow CDC guidance
  • Avoid social gatherings of 10+ people
  • Practice good hygiene
  • Use drivethru, pickup, or food delivery options
  • Avoid nonessential travel, shopping trips, and social visits
  • Do not visit nursing homes or long-term care facilities unless to provide critical help
Follow the directions of your state and local authorities. For more information, visit coronavirus.gov
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Sunday, March 29, 2020

Pets and the Coronavirus: The Facts

By Timothy Gamble

3-29-2020 - There is a lot of misinformation and rumors surrounding pets and the current coronavirus pandemic. This is leading many pet owners to abandon their dogs and cats at animal shelters. There are also reports of veterinarians being asked to euthanize otherwise healthy pets by owners afraid of getting Covid-19 from their animals. These drastic over-reactions are completely unnecessary. There is NO evidence that people get get Covid-19 from their pets, and little evidence that pets can get Covid-19 at all. Here are the facts: 
  • Coronaviruses come in many strains. The current pandemic is caused by the Covid-19 strain.
  • Dogs and cats can get some strains of cornaviruses, but  not all strains of coronaviruses
  • Dogs and cats may be able to get Covid-19, but it is very rare. So far, only two dogs (both in Hong Kong) and one cat (in Belgium) have been diagnosed with Covid-19.
  • There is NO evidence of Covid-19 being passed to a human from a dog or cat. Not a single case of pet-to-human transfer is known anywhere in the world.
The World Health Organization has made the following statement: "The current spread of COVID-19 is a result of human to human transmission. To date, there is no evidence that companion animals can spread the disease. Therefore, there is no justification in taking measures against companion animals which may compromise their welfare."

The Centers of Disease Control (CDC) has not received any reports of a dog or cat getting Covid-19 in the United States, and therefore no reports of any person being infected from a dog or cat.  On their website, the CDC states "At this time, there is no evidence that companion animals, including pets, can spread COVID-19 or that they might be a source of infection in the United States."

It is worth noting that Covid-19 can survive on surfaces for several days (up to 9 days according to some researchers). Theoretically, it may be possible for an animal that comes into contact with an infected person to carry the virus on their coat, potentially exposing uninfected people who later pet or touch the animal. In addition to keeping your pets away from others (yes, social distancing goes for dogs and cats, too), the CDC offers this advice for pet owners:
  • Wash your hands after handling animals, their food, waste, or supplies.
  • Practice good pet hygiene and clean up after pets properly.
  • If you get sick, have another member of your household care for your animals if possible.
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Thursday, March 26, 2020

Epidemiologist admits his original computer modeling was wrong, now predicts far fewer deaths from coronavirus.

By Timothy Gamble

3-26-2020 - Neil Ferguson, the British epidemiologist whose computer model predicted over 600,000 people in the UK and over 2,000,000 in the US will die from the coronavirus pandemic, now says his original computer modeling is wrong. 

During testimony yesterday before the UK’s parliamentary select committee on science and technology, Ferguson said his new modeling now shows fewer than 20,000 deaths in the UK in a worst case scenario, and probably much lower. 

A similar adjustment to the US prediction now gives a worst case scenario of around 65,000 deaths, and probably much less.  

The new computer modeling predictions put the potential death totals for both nations around the levels of a bad flu season for each nation.

Ferguson's original computer modeling predictions went viral (no pun intended) on the Internet, causing much fear and panic.
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Wednesday, March 25, 2020

In Celebration of Farmers, Truck Drivers, and the Backbone of America

3-25-2020 - Neal Boortz (@Talkmaster) posted this graphic to his Twitter account yesterday, March 24, which also happened to be National Agriculture Day.


During this current pandemic, we are reminded by empty store shelves of the importance of the men and women who produce, deliver, stock, and sell the food and other goods we need to survive and live. These folks still go to work despite the pandemic, putting themselves and their families at risk. Without them, the rest of us cannot survive for very long. So, if you interact with any of these folks in the coming weeks, please don't shake their hands. Instead, be polite, be nice, and thank them for everything they do. 

This is also a good time to listen to Paul Harvey's tribute to farmers:





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China: Christians Caught Between Coronavirus and Persecution

The following is an unedited press release from International Christian Concern (ICC). Please check out the ICC website at www.persecution.org for more on the persecution and genocide of Christians in China and around the world.
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03/23/2020 China (International Christian Concern) – Despite the Chinese government’s claim that there are no new confirmed cases of the Coronavirus in the country, China is still very engulfed in the battle against this disease.

Other than the patients and medical professionals who became direct victims from the outbreak, some Christians also face additional challenges during this time.

Christian persecution watchdog China Aid reports on the persecution faced by a member from the Fengle Church in Heshan city, Guangdong province.

Ruan Haonan, who used to be a chef at a hotel, is caught between the disease and harassment from the police. Though he has landed multiple jobs in the past few years, he was laid off repeatedly due to the police’s oppression.

“After our church was raided by the public security bureau in 2017, it has been difficult (for me) to look for a job. Every year local police would call me, question, and scold me, asking me not to share the gospel anymore,” Ruan said.

Ruan was criminally detained for a month for “Organizing and Using a Cult to Undermine Implementation of the Law” in June 2017. After that, he could only stay employed for a short period of time, since the police always find him and pressure his boss to lay him off.

“Now due to the virus, many restaurants are closed, it has become harder for me to find a job. […] Two days ago, I went to a factory (to look for employment), but they claimed that I have a criminal record and I am part of a cult. If I were to return to my hometown, the local police would ask me where I went and whether or not I am proselytizing. With little options left, I can only find a job that doesn’t require registration of ID, which pays little,” he added.

A Christian from Guizhou also told China Aid, “We have been meeting online since the Lunar New Year. Most people in Guiyang are staying at home, although some already started to work, we still gather online and avoid having it at home. First, we worry about the infectious disease. Second, we do not want to let the police know.”

House churches in China have been facing increasing pressure from the government in the last two years, often demanded to join the state-sanctioned Three-Self church, in order for them to survive. Those who refuse to comply face constant harassment or even closure.
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Monday, March 23, 2020

Stunning: Here's Why the Democrats Are Stalling the Coronavirus Reponse Bill

By Timothy Gamble

3-23-2020 - The Senate Democratic Leader, Chuck Schumer, and the Speaker of the House, Nancy Pelosi, are stalling votes on the new coronavirus response bill, demanding political concessions that have nothing to do with fighting the pandemic or its economic impact. Among the measures the Democrat leaders are demanding:
  1. Unprecedented collective bargaining powers for unions 
  2. Increased fuel emissions standards for airlines 
  3. Expansion of wind and solar tax credits
  4. Grants for conducting "risk-limiting audits" of results of elections

Part 8 of Nancy Pelosi's 1,198 page Coronavirus Bill

This follows comments this weekend by Democratic Majority Whip James Clyburn, in which he told lawmakers "This is a tremendous opportunity to restructure things to fit our vision."

In a statement rerleased via Twitter, Representative Dan Crenshaw said, "I can confirm this. This is what Democrats torpedoed the rescue package for. This will go down as one of the most cynical, disgusting, malevolent actions in history. Millions are losing jobs while they play these games."


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Coronavirus Pandemic: Borders Matter According to New Poll

By Timothy Gamble

3-23-2020 - Apparently, national borders do matter to people when it comes to the Covid 19 pandemic, despite decades of globalism.

Reuters just released a new survey of 12,000 people across 12 nations, showing that people now strongly favor security over open borders, and want their national borders closed to non-essential travel, including all tourism, immigration, and most business travel, until the pandemic is over. 

The percentages of citizens favoring closing their borders ranges from a high of 79% in India to a low of 51% in the UK. In the US, 62% favor closing the borders.  

Percentage of Citizens In Favor of Closing the Borders:

India  79%
Vietnam  78%
Italy  76%
China  73%
Russia  70%
Japan  67%
Australia  69%
United States  62%
Canada  59%
Germany  57%
France  54% 
UK  51%
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Tuesday, March 17, 2020

Chart of COVID19, Flu & Cold Symptoms

The following chart comparing the symptoms of Covid19, seasonal flu, and the common cold is being shared on Twitter by the US Space Command (twitter), and is based on information from WHO and CDC. 

According to the CDC, Covid19 symptoms appear 2-14 days after exposure. Call your healthcare provider for medical advice if you think you've been exposed to Covid19 and have developed symptoms. Do NOT just show up at your doctor's office or the emergency room if you think you may have Covid19. Call first for advice.

Click or download the image for a larger view. 


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Thailand: Muslim Terrorists Injure 25 in Gernade, Car-Bomb Attack

By Timothy Gamble

3-17-2020 -  Early this morning in Yala, Muslim terrorists lobbed a grenade at an office building. The terrorists waited ten minutes
until police and rescue personal arrived on the scene, then detonated a car bomb. Twenty-five people were injured in the attack, including five police officers. No fatalities are being reported at this time. 

Thailand is a heavily Buddhist nation (94%), but Islam is the largest minority religion (4%), mostly in the southern Thai region which includes the provinces of Yala, Songkhla, Pattani, and Narathiwat. Muslim extremists have long-demanded autonomy from the Thai government, and terror attacks have become common over the last two decades. Since 2004, over 6,500 people have been killed and at least 12,000 injured in the violence.
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Monday, March 16, 2020

15 Days to Slow the Spread

For more information, go to Coronavirus.gov. (Click and/or download the following infographics for larger view.)



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Friday, March 13, 2020

Kenya: Christians Killed in Al-Shabaab Attacks

By Timothy Gamble

03/13/2020 - International Christian Concern (ICC) is reporting that on March 11 two Christians, including a young boy, were killed and another Christian was abducted when Islamic militants of the al-Shabaab terrorist group attacked two vehicles on the road between Elwak and Mandera in northeastern Kenya. This region has become a common location for the terror group to conduct attacks, in which they target Christians.

Kenya has witnessed six Islamic terror attacks targeting vehicles in the last four months, leading to the deaths of 21 Christians. On December 6, 2019, 11 Christians were killed when al-Shabaab attacked a passenger bus in Wajir. In total, 10 additional Christians have been killed in the region from different terror activities in 2020 alone.

While Kenyan forces pursue the terrorists, the status of the abducted Christian in the most recent attack remains unknown.

Harakat al-Shabaab al-Mujahideen, more commonly known as al-Shabaab, is an Islamic jihadist group based in Somalia, but active throughout East Africa, primarily in rural areas. In 2012, it pledged allegiance to Al-Qaeda. In recent years, al-Shabaab has become notorious for its tactic of stopping cars and buses, forcing passengers to separate by religion, and then executing the Christians on board.

Sources: 1) Press release by International Christian Concern dated 3-13-2020. 2) Information from the Al-Shabaab entry in the online edition of Encyclopædia Britannica.

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Monday, March 9, 2020

FISA Reform Bill Introduced in the Senate

The following is an unedited press release from Senators Mike Lee (R-UT) and Patrick Leahy (D-VT).

Lee-Leahy Introduce Bipartisan FISA Reform Bill
 

Mar 09 2020

 

WASHINGTON – Sens. Mike Lee (R-UT) and Patrick Leahy (D-VT) introduced the “USA FREEDOM Extension and Amici Curiae Reform Act” Monday, a bill that provides federal law enforcement the tools they need to protect Americans from foreign powers while also better protecting the civil liberties of all Americans.

“Our Founding Fathers knew well the danger of a government with the power to snoop through the private communications of law-abiding Americans. They included the Fourth Amendment in the Bill of Rights to limit the government’s ability to spy on its citizens,” Sen. Lee said. “This bill brings much needed common sense reforms to our federal government’s foreign surveillance programs so that Americans’ civil liberties are not violated again.”

“I have been working with Senator Lee for years to rein in our nation’s surveillance authorities, which are still clearly too susceptible to abuse,” Sen. Leahy said. “Our legislation today would end the mass collection of call detail records, improve transparency and accountability, and increase privacy and civil liberties protections for all Americans. Recognizing that passing broad surveillance reform can take time we are also introducing a bill that pairs a short extension with significant reform of the amicus curiae process. We look forward to fighting for the comprehensive FISA reform Americans deserve.”

On March 15th, three provisions of the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act are scheduled to expire:
  1. The “business records” provision (50 U.S.C. §1861),
  2. The “roving wiretaps” provision (50 U.S.C. §1805(c)(2)(B)), and
  3. The “lone wolf” provision (50 U.S.C. §1801(b)(1)(C)).
With these authorities set to expire within a week, Sens. Leahy and Lee introduced a short three-month extension of the FISA authorities that is coupled with significant reform of the FISA amicus curiae process, the USA FREEDOM Extension and Amici Curiae Reform Act.This bill:
  • Ends the Call Detail Records program.
  • Strengthens First Amendment protections by changing the standard for surveillance under Section 215 based on First Amendment protected activities from “solely” to “substantially”.
  • Prohibits collection of business records without a warrant if law enforcement would require a warrant for the same search.
  • Requires a showing of probable cause that a known U.S. person is an agent of a foreign power or has been or will soon be involved in an act of terrorism or in clandestine intelligence activities in violation of the law for Section 215 warrants.
  • Excludes the following from the definition of “tangible things” under Section 215: cell site location information, global positioning system (GPS) data, internet web browsing information, internet search history and medical and health-related records.
  • Requires disclosure of decisions by the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Court (FISC) or the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Court of Review (FISCR) to include opinions that address the meaning of “specific selection term”, involve amicus curiae, or address the prohibition on obtaining authority for a search that would require law enforcement to obtain a warrant.
  • Requires that a court-appointed amicus have an expertise in privacy and civil liberties.
  • Requires the FISC to appoint an amicus curiae in cases involving a “sensitive investigative matter” defined as involving a public official, candidate, religious or political organization or staff thereof, or news media within the United States or a matter the FISC finds to be of similar sensitive nature.
  • Expands amicus duties from raising general privacy and civil liberties arguments to include raising “legal arguments regarding any colorable privacy or civil liberties interest of any aggrieved United States person”.
  • Allows amicus, once appointed, to raise any issue with the court at any time. Also, allows amicus to petition FISC to certify a question of law to the FISCR and may seek certiorari from the Supreme Court to review any FISCR decision.
  • Provides amicus with access to all court documents, including relevant decisions and precedents relied upon by the government.
  • Requires the government to turn over any “material” information “including any exculpatory information” as part of its application.
  • Requires the Inspector Generals of the intelligence community and DOJ to audit FISA applications from the preceding year.
Finally, the bill extends the expiring Section 215 business records provisions, the roving wiretaps provisions and the lone wolf provisions through December 2023.

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Saturday, March 7, 2020

Egypt’s Coptic Christians Must Never Be Forgotten

The following is an unedited press release by Save the Persecuted Christians (STPC), a Christian human rights organization dedicated to raising awareness of the persecution and genocide of Christians around the world. The photo is from Reuters/Social Media via Reuters TV.

Five Years After 21 Christian Men Were Beheaded in Libya, Plight Remains Desperate for Believers in Egypt 

WASHINGTON—Upon the death of 91-year-old former Egyptian president Hosni Mubarak on Feb. 25, Fox News reported that the 30-year ruler had been a “stalwart U.S. ally and a bulwark against Islamic militancy.”

“But to the tens of thousands of young Egyptians who rallied for 18 days of unprecedented street protests in Cairo’s central Tahrir Square and elsewhere in 2011, Mubarak was a relic, a latter-day pharaoh. Nearly 900 protesters were killed during that stretch, which ended when Mubarak stepped down and handed over his power to the military.”

Although sentenced to life in prison for involvement in the killing of anti-government protesters during the uprising, notes Save the Persecuted Christians, which advocates on behalf of hundreds of millions of Christians facing heavy persecution worldwide, Mubarak had been subsequently acquitted and released in 2017 by the current president, Abdel Fatteh El-Sisi. On the anniversary of their martyrdom, the government of Egypt opened a museum to honor “The 21” as they have come to be known. 

Today, while looking back to that period of Egypt’s history, Save the Persecuted Christians wants to ensure that the Christians still living—and being persecuted—in Egypt are not forgotten. 

(Photo: Reuters/Social Media via Reuters TV)
“Just over five years ago, 21 Christians—20 from Egypt and one from Ghana—were martyred in Libya, as the world was shocked by stunning images of these brave Christian men in orange jumpsuits being beheaded one by one,” said STPC Executive Director Dede Laugesen. “We must never forget them, as they will always be a symbol of the hundreds of millions of Christians worldwide who are persecuted, tortured, kidnapped raped and murdered for their faith in Jesus Christ. Unbelievably, Christian persecution seems to have heightened, not waned, since these 21 men made the ultimate sacrifice for their faith.”

Laugesen added that the plight of persecuted Egyptian Christians remains a concern. For instance, according to Persecution.org, a Christian man in Egypt imprisoned on blasphemy charges remains incarcerated, although he was due for release on Jan. 22. Abd Adel Bebawy was sentenced to three years in 2018, six months after he was arrested in his home village of Minbal. “A Facebook post on his profile had motivated extremist Muslims to attack the homes of several Christians,” 

Persecution.org reports. “Bebawy’s family was displaced from the village, and still cannot return.”
Egypt ranks number 16 on the 2020 Open Doors USA Worldwatch List of the 50 countries where Christians face the most persecution.

Save the Persecuted Christians continues to track stories of multiple women and girls in Egypt who have been kidnapped, forcibly converted and married to Muslims. Many of them have been murdered and their killers allowed to escape justice in a country that frequently elevates the testimony of Muslims over that of Christians. The cases of these victims are often summarily dismissed without proper investigation leaving their families to mourn their loss without hope of resolution.

The mission of Save the Persecuted Christians is to save lives and save souls by disseminating actionable information about the magnitude of the persecution taking place globally and by mobilizing concerned Americans for the purpose of disincentivizing further attacks on those who follow Jesus.

One way is through STPC’s “Warfare on Women” exhibit which features images, facts and quotes about the persecution of Christian women in multiple countries. The banner entitled “Widowed” highlights the story of one of the widows of the 21 martyrs and reports: Egyptian Coptic Christian Ibitsam IIhim was widowed when her husband, Samuel, was beheaded by ISIS along with 20 others on the sea shore of Libya in February, 2015. In the documentary, ‘Christians in the Mirror’, she remarks, ‘When we heard that they didn’t deny Jesus, and that they died in His name, we were all flooded with happiness and appreciation that their death didn’t go in vain. It was a relief.’”

“I’m proud of every single Christian around the world who stands by and protects their faith,” continues IIhim.

Additional banners in “Warfare on Women” tell the story of other women, like Leah Sharibu from Nigeria, who have been targeted by terrorists to demean and degrade their dignity in order to cause fear in Christian communities.

With so much of the world’s Christian population being imprisoned and/or harassed for their beliefs, such as Coptic Christians in Egypt, the need has never been greater for the sort of grassroots campaign STPC’s SaveUs Movement is working to foster. Its efforts are modeled after a miraculously successful one that helped free another population suffering from heavy persecution—Soviet Jews—by penalizing those in the Kremlin responsible for such repression. Through this movement, Save the Persecuted Christians endeavors to provide American policymakers with the popular support they need to effect real change worldwide and alleviate systemicallythe suffering being experienced by so many of those following Christ.

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Friday, March 6, 2020

India: Pro-ISIS Media Outlet Publishes Magazine Praising and Inciting Terrorism

The following is an unedited press release from the Counter Extremism Project. The Counter Extremism Project is an "international policy organization formed to combat the growing threat from extremist ideologies." More information can be found on their website.

Terror Group Seeks To Further Inflame Tensions Between Muslim & Hindu Populations

(New York, N.Y.) – On February 24, 2020, pro-ISIS media outlet Al-Qitaal Media Center published a new online magazine titled “Voice of Hind” featuring Mahmood Paracha, a lawyer accused of inciting hatred and violence in India. The magazine also states that there is no place for nationalism in Islam, and that India’s Muslims should join the caliphate instead. The publication represents ISIS’s latest effort to gain a foothold in India.

Voice of Hind emerged in the midst of large scale sectarian violence fueled by the controversial Citizenship Amendment Act (CAA), which critics believe discriminates against India’s Muslims. The CAA and the National Register of Citizens (NRC) now include religion as a criterion for nationality, representing a move away from India’s founding principle of secularism. The new legislation provides a path for citizenship for practicing Hindus and five other South Asian religions—Buddhism, Christianity, Sikhism, Jainism, and Zoroastrianism—but does not include Islam. Since Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s reelection in May, his administration has largely endorsed a Hindu identity for the country and has demonstrated hostility towards secularism and Islam. The magazine, which seeks to exploit tensions, calls for Indian Muslims to join ISIS and praises individuals who have already done so or have committed attacks in the group’s name.

Though India banned ISIS in 2014, the Modi government has expressed concern about the group’s ability to attract members through online propaganda. The terrorist group has not made major headway in the country. However, Indian security agencies have arrested more than 127 individuals with suspected links to ISIS.
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Thursday, March 5, 2020

Brutal murder by hammer of a Canadian woman named Atrocity of the Week

By Timothy Gamble

3-5-2020 - Religion of Peace, a website that monitors and tracks terrorism and violence committed worldwide in the name of Islam, has named the brutal murder of a Canadian woman with a hammer by an Islamic man as the Atrocity of the Week. Police in Toronto are saying the man was motivated by “terrorist reasons.”


Hang-Kam Annie Chui (Toronto Police Handout)
The victim, identified as 64-year-old Hang-Kam Annie Chui, was bludgeoned to death with a hammer by Saad Akhtar, 30, while she was walking near her home. The attack on Chui appears to be random. Saad Akhtar later turned himself in to police.


Akhtar left a note pinned to Chui's body claiming he committed the murder for Islamic religious reasons, according to police. Officials are pursuing terror and murder charges against Akhtar.
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Covid 19 Coronavirus in the United States - A State-by-State Breakdown

By Timothy Gamble 

3-5-2020 (noon update) - The Covid 19 coronavirus is spreading in the United States. Currently, there are 164 confirmed cases across 17 states. According to the CDC's latest update, 8 patients have fully recovered so far, and 11 patients have died. Here is a state-by-state breakdown of the coronavirus outbreak in the US:

Washington - 41 confirmed cases, with 10 deaths. Most cases and deaths have been in King County(32 cases, 9 deaths), where the virus has infected a nursing home.

Oregon - 3 confirmed cases and no deaths.

California - 38 confirmed cases and 1 death. Santa Clara has 14 confirmed cases and Los Angeles has 7. The remainder are mostly isolated cases spread out across the state. The one death occurred in Placer County.


Arizona - 2 confirmed cases and no deaths.

Nevada - 1 confirmed case and no deaths. 

Illinois - 4 cases (all in Cook County) and no deaths.

Wisconsin - 1 confirmed case in Madison, which has already recovered.

Massachusetts - 2 confirmed cases, no deaths.

New York - 13 confirmed cases, no deaths. 10 cases are in Westchester County and 3 in New York City.

New Jersey - 1 confirmed case, no deaths.

Rhode Island - 2 confirmed cases, no deaths.

New Hampshire  - 2 confirmed cases, no deaths. 

North Carolina - 1 confirmed case (Wake County), no deaths. 

Tennessee - 1 confirmed case in Nashville, no deaths.

Georgia - 2 confirmed cases, no deaths.

Florida - 3 confirmed cases (2 in Hillsborough and 1 in Sarasota), no deaths.

Texas - 2 confirmed cases (1 each in San Antonio and Fort Bend County), no deaths. 

Diamond Princess - The state-by-state numbers do not include 45 people repatriated from the Diamond Princess cruise ship and placed in quarantine. The CDC is keeping these numbers separate from the state numbers.
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Wednesday, March 4, 2020

Covid 19 Medical Updates: Scientists Announce Two Strains and a Higher Death Rate

By Timothy Gamble

3-4-2020 - Scientists from Beijing and Shanghai have announced that there are two strains of the Covid 19 coronavirus. This means that the virus has mutated at least once since it began in November. The strains have been named Covid 19 L and Covid 19 S.

Covid 19 L is the most aggressive and deadly strain, but appears to be burning itself out. Typically, aggressive viruses burn out quickly, in part because the seriousness of the illness forces people into hospitals or self-quarntine.

Covid 19 S is the older and less aggressive strain, and is the one that is more rapidly spreading globally. This is likely due to people with milder symptoms not seeking medical treatment or self-quarntineing.

People who recover from one strain of a virus can become reinfected with a different strain of the same virus. This is likely the reason behind reports of a few patients becoming reinfected after recovering from Covid 19. They are being reinfected with the second strain. 

In other news, the World Health Organization (WHO) has announced that the Covid 19 death rate is 3.4% globally, which is higher than previous estimates of less than 2%. 

By comparison, he death rate from seasonal flu is typically around 0.1%. However the death rate from SARS is 9.6%, and the death rate from MERS is 34.4%.
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Please subscribe to www.TimGamble.com using the Follow By Email field at the bottom of the right hand column.

On Social Media:

Twitter: @TimGamble - My main account. News, politics, and economics, with some survivalist posts.


Twitter: @DystopianSurv - My account specifically for my prepping, survivalist, and homesteading website, www.DystopianSurvival.com.
 
GAB: @TimGamble - Mainly a back-up account for both websites.

NEW UPDATE List of All Countries with Covid 19 Cases

By Timothy Gamble

3-4-2020 - The Covid 19 outbreak is now in over 80 countries. Here is the complete list, along with the official number of cases for each country. As the United States begins distributing a new, better, quicker test kit, expect the number of known cases in the US to rise rapidly.

80,270 Mainland China (real numbers are 4X-10X greater)
102 Hong Kong

5,621 South Korea
2,922 Iran (likely under-reported)
2,502 Italy 
304 Japan
244 Germany
212 France
193 Spain
128 US
110 Singapore
102 Hong Kong
93 Switzerland
56 Kuwait
53 UK
50 Malaysia
49 Bahrain
43 Thailand
42 Australia
42 Taiwan
38 Netherlands
35 Sweden
33 Canada
32 Norway
32 Iraq
28 India
27 United Arab Emirates
27 Austria
23 Belgium
16 Iceland
16 Vietnam
15 San Marino
15 Israel
13 Lebanon
12 Oman
10 Denmark
10 Macau
9 Croatia
8 Qatar
8 Greece
7 Ecuador
6 Finland
6 Belarus
5 Czech Republic
5 Algeria
5 Pakistan
5 Portugal
5 Mexico
4 Romania
3 Georgia
3 Russia
3 Philippines
3 Saint Barthelemy
3 Azerbaijan
2 Ireland
2 Indonesia
2 Senegal
2 Estonia
2 New Zealand
2 Brazil
2 Egypt
1 Afghanistan
1 Lithuania
1 Faroe Islands
1 Nepal
1 Luxembourg
1 Andorra
1 Saudi Arabia
1 Gibraltar
1 Armenia
1 Argentina
1 Nigeria
1 Jordan
1 Chile
1 Dominican Republic
1 Ukraine
1 North Macedonia
1 Morocco
1 Cambodia
1 Monaco
1 Poland
1 Liechtenstein
1 Latvia
1 Tunisia
1 Sri Lanka


706 Others (Diamond Princess passengers unassigned to a country)
 
Data sources: Johns Hopkins CSSEWHO, CDC, ECDC, NHC, and DXY.
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Please subscribe to www.TimGamble.com using the Follow By Email field at the bottom of the right hand column.

On Social Media:

Twitter: @TimGamble - My main account. News, politics, and economics, with some survivalist posts.


Twitter: @DystopianSurv - My account specifically for my prepping, survivalist, and homesteading website, www.DystopianSurvival.com.
 
GAB: @TimGamble - Mainly a back-up account for both websites.

Sunday, March 1, 2020

Here's how to deal with the coronavirus pandemic: Stay calm and take commonsense precautions.

By Timothy Gamble

(This article also appearson www.DystopianSurvival.com

3-1-2020 - If you're wondering what you need to do about the Covid 19 pandemic, its actually quite simple: Stay calm and take commonsense precautions.

Covid 19 has certainly become a true pandemic, regardless of when WHO gets around to labelling it as such. It is currently in 67 countries, many of which are now experiencing sustained local transmission. At least 3,000 people have died (and likely many more since China is known to be severely under-reporting their numbers). 

But there is good news. First, as diseases go, Covid 19 is not particularly deadly. It is less deadly than SARS, MERS, or even the Flu. Yes, Covid 19 can kill, especially the elderly and those with already weakened immune systems, but the vast majority of healthy adults who do get Covid 19 will live.  

Second, most people won't get Covid 19. Think of it this way: In China, the epicenter of the outbreak, there are 80,000 official cases, but we know China is lying about their numbers. Most epidemiologists believe the real number is between 4X and 10X the official Chinese numbers. Even in the worst-case scenario, there are only about 800,000 actual cases. This sounds like a lot until you realize China's population is slightly over 1.4 billion. So, less than 1% of the population is infected. In the US, between 5% and 20% of the population get the flu each year, depending on the severity of the flu season. So, even if the US has a major sustained outbreak of Covid 19, you are still more likely to get the flu than Covid 19. There is no need to panic.

But no one likes to get sick, so there is need for a certain amount of concern. But what should we be concerned about? Three things:
  • Physical health (we don't want to get sick)
  • Physical safety (we don't want to go shopping when people are starting to panic)
  • Economic concerns (supply chain problems, shortages, market downturns)
Physical Health - There is no need to fear the virus itself. It is not particularly deadly. For the vast majority of otherwise healthy adults, you are under no more of a threat from Covid 19 than the flu. Simply take the normal commonsense precautions as you would for the flu:
  • Wash your hands often, for at least 20 seconds.
  • Avoid touching your eyes, nose, or mouth with unwashed hands.
  • Avoid contact with those who are sick. Avoid crowds.
  • Regularly clean and disinfect all surfaces. 
  • If you are sick, avoid contact with others.
  • Stay home when sick and for two days after symptoms stop.
  • Do not prepare food for others if you are sick, or may be sick.
Physical Safety - You don't want to go shopping for food and other supplies if shortages occur and people start to panic. There have already been food runs in Germany, Italy, and Spain.Videos from Europe are circulating that look like Black Friday videos here in the United States, with customers rushing store doors and fighting over the last canned ham on the shelf. You need to have at least three weeks of food and other basic necessities at home so you don't have to go out into the crazy crowds that might be panicking at some point. 

Economic Concerns - If you are an investor, don't panic over the recent market drops. This is an event driven drop, not one based on bad market fundamentals. Event driven drops tend to have V-shaped recoveries - a sharp drop followed by a sharp rise. Even with the sharp market drop last week, it would not be surprising for the markets to end 2020 higher. This is not 2008. Don't panic.

Also, event driven drops typically do not erode jobs. The stock market drop of last week, and probably this coming week, will not lead to massive lay-offs. Again, this is not 2008. Stay calm.

What is likely to happen will be some shortages caused by problems in the supply-chain with China's production largely shut down, combined with panic-induced buying as people start stocking up over coronavirus fears. In the coming weeks it will become increasingly difficult for stores (including Amazon) to keep the shelves fully stocked. We are already seeing some shortages in facemasks and other basic medical supplies, some auto parts, and even some canned goods on Amazon. This is why people should have at least three weeks of food and other basic necessities at home.
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http://amzn.to/2fkJR78
Ad: Emergency Food Storage & Survival Handbook, by Peggy Layton, has detailed information and lists for everything from an emergency car kit, to a 72-hour emergency kit (aka "bug out" kit), to building stockpiles of food, water, medicine and other necessities. Included in the book is a section on ideas for apartment dwellers and others with little storage space. LEVEL:  Beginner to Intermediate. I consider this a CORE BOOK for most preppers. 

---------------------
Please subscribe to www.TimGamble.com using the Follow By Email field at the bottom of the right hand column.

On Social Media:

Twitter: @TimGamble - My main account. News, politics, and economics, with some survivalist posts.


Twitter: @DystopianSurv - My account specifically for my prepping, survivalist, and homesteading website, www.DystopianSurvival.com.
 
GAB: @TimGamble - Mainly a back-up account for both websites.