Thursday, March 26, 2020

Epidemiologist admits his original computer modeling was wrong, now predicts far fewer deaths from coronavirus.

By Timothy Gamble

3-26-2020 - Neil Ferguson, the British epidemiologist whose computer model predicted over 600,000 people in the UK and over 2,000,000 in the US will die from the coronavirus pandemic, now says his original computer modeling is wrong. 

During testimony yesterday before the UK’s parliamentary select committee on science and technology, Ferguson said his new modeling now shows fewer than 20,000 deaths in the UK in a worst case scenario, and probably much lower. 

A similar adjustment to the US prediction now gives a worst case scenario of around 65,000 deaths, and probably much less.  

The new computer modeling predictions put the potential death totals for both nations around the levels of a bad flu season for each nation.

Ferguson's original computer modeling predictions went viral (no pun intended) on the Internet, causing much fear and panic.
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